Inflation in Buenos Aires: 1.6% in May, the Lowest Figure in 5 Years

[Dick]

@LongIslander , teachers salaries are going up as their Union is fairly strong . Mosta teachers in private schools are in the Union.

It seems like doormen also have a strong union judging by how quickly the monthly expenses in properties are going up! 🤣

Disgrace is right. 10% for 2026 just ain't going to happen. Inflation has been going up now for 6 months. It's getting worse too. 2024 there was a slowdown. In 2025 we had stagnation int he first few months and then an acceleration in inflation the second half of the year.

Keep in mind December 2025 inflation was higher than December 2024.



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Good news bad news. Good news inflation is the lowest in the past 8 years. Bad news is it has steadily been going up not down.

Inflación en Argentina se acelera en diciembre, pero cierra 2025 en nivel más bajo en ocho años

El IPC de diciembre fue más elevado de lo pronosticado por el mercado. En cuánto terminó el año.

www.bloomberglinea.com

 

[Finance Prof]

It seems like doormen also have a strong union judging by how quickly the monthly expenses in properties are going up! 🤣


Good news bad news. Good news inflation is the lowest in the past 8 years. Bad news is it has steadily been going up not down.

Inflación en Argentina se acelera en diciembre, pero cierra 2025 en nivel más bajo en ocho años

El IPC de diciembre fue más elevado de lo pronosticado por el mercado. En cuánto terminó el año.

www.bloomberglinea.com

Correct. Portero union its also very strong. But many buildings now are getting rid of Porteros and trying to shift over to the totem system for security.

 

[GlasgowJohn]

Tution paymnets are still going up .....

Well ahead of the 30% annual inflation.

let me try and work out this years increase.

Just got the invoice file out . My sons school fees have gone up by 39% . I actually thought it was more . But still 7.5 points above the official figure

 

[Finance Prof]

Just got the invoice file out . My sons school fees have gone up by 39% . I actually thought it was more . But still 7.5 points above the official figure

Sounds about right. I asked my friends how much theirs has gone up and ranges from about 40% to 50% last year. Mind boggling to me. Imagine in the USA if parents were told the tuition was going up 50% year after year. Just nuts.

 

[MikeYoung]

Just got the invoice file out . My sons school fees have gone up by 39% . I actually thought it was more . But still 7.5 points above the official figure

Still can't figure out how locals are making it with these kind of increases other than everyone has to be making more money than they claim. @GlasgowJohn how much are you paying per month for your kids tuition? I remember you said you are further out so maybe it is cheaper. I'm hearing $1K USD per month type tuition for some schools in elementary school in BA and these aren't the elite schools either which are much more expensive.

Just can't figure out how people can afford these kind of increases and do you think they will slow down? 39% increase for school in one year is significant.

 

[Surfer]

The inflation figure is certainly an improvement on previous years.

But its still a bloody disgrace.

Milei and Caputo are forecasting 10.0% for 2026 - I dont have a clue how they will manage that with current market dynamics.

Unless Milei and Caputo can do some magic trick no way 10% is going to be possible. But to see what a disaster Alberto was you can see how terrible he did.



But historically it's still very high and looks like it's heading up not down.

 

[Floripa]

But at least it sounds like food prices went down from last month to this month. When I ask my Argentine friends about the entire financial situation they say this is the first time in years where they have relative stability in prices from one month to another. That kind of hope will buy time.

 

[Wally]

Milei and Caputo are forecasting 10.0% for 2026 - I dont have a clue how they will manage that with current market dynamics.

Can't see this happening. Not in 2026. Inflation IS going up.

Los precios de los alimentos vuelven a acelerar y complican el arranque del año

Los productos con aumentos de precio representaron el 12% de la canasta relevada.

www.eldestapeweb.com

 

[Tango]

But inflation has been going up the past 5 months in a row. In January it was at least 3.5% to 4%. Government is hiding the true #. Kirchner vibes.



And the worst thing is this government thinks people are stupid. Trying to say they don't want to change the inflation index because they are afraid it will come in lower! The nerve!

El Gobierno anunció subas de tarifas por encima de la inflación

Busca sostener la desaceleración del índice de precios mientras avanza con una recomposición gradual de los servicios

www.lanacion.com.ar

 

[MikeRoss]

But inflation has been going up the past 5 months in a row. In January it was at least 3.5% to 4%. Government is hiding the true #. Kirchner vibes.



And the worst thing is this government thinks people are stupid. Trying to say they don't want to change the inflation index because they are afraid it will come in lower! The nerve!

El Gobierno anunció subas de tarifas por encima de la inflación

Busca sostener la desaceleración del índice de precios mientras avanza con una recomposición gradual de los servicios

www.lanacion.com.ar

Milei kept saying over quoting Milton Friedman "inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon". Now Caputo is telling everyone "inflation is always and everywhere a political attack phenomenon". Ha.

 

[Edmonton]

Milei kept saying over quoting Milton Friedman "inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon". Now Caputo is telling everyone "inflation is always and everywhere a political attack phenomenon". Ha.

That is a tell tale sign they are full of it. Inflation has been going up every month not down. The fantasy of 10% inflation in 2026 is crazy. The government admitted the new methodology would have created higher inflation. Hell just look at the utilities going up every month. The government said today that wouldn't stop going up above inflation. They said they will keep going up higher than inflation.

The CPI impacts salaries, pensions, rentals, UVA loans, CER bonds and tariffs. Someone else posted how it affects poverty rates too.

It seems like the wheels are coming off the tracks with this lie.

 

[Cheap Bastard]

How long is this government going to keep blaming the people in office before? They have to take responsibility for when things don't turn out so rosy either.

 

[Finance Prof]

How long is this government going to keep blaming the people in office before? They have to take responsibility for when things don't turn out so rosy either.

Agree. Only so long you can keep blaming previous administrations. This administration has done many positive things but every time they make progress seems like they make bad decisions (Libragate, getting busted stealing from social plans) and now hiding true inflation.

INDEC reported a while ago that they were going to start publishing this month with data from January 2026, explaining the advantages of doing so.

The Central Bank also publicly informed all market participants, not only about the change but also about the benefits of implementing it now. There are asset prices and contracts that are indexed to the CPI, CER, or UVA, and any manipulation is unacceptable, exactly because of the recent fraudulent history of the agency with previous socialist administrations, which took so much effort to fix.

Every time they build some good will they totally destroy their reputation doing stupid things like this. Not sure how the biggest fans of this administration can argue for this. Just stains their entire reputation and negatively impacts the anti-inflation program. No one will believe any #'s now anyway.

 

[oil rush]

How Argentina wants you to see inflation with INDEC.





The reality of the real inflation with INDEC.

 

[MikeYoung]

How Argentina wants you to see inflation with INDEC.

View attachment 10334



The reality of the real inflation with INDEC.

View attachment 10335

Que fea!

 

[ElQueso]

How Argentina wants you to see inflation with INDEC.

View attachment 10334



The reality of the real inflation with INDEC.

View attachment 10335

Damn that was funny. She looks just like her brother. It's no wonder both of them are single.

 

[import export]

No one will believe any #'s now anyway.

This is what I think the biggest risk is that no one (especially international community) won't believe anything coming out of the government. Here is what the numbers would have looked like with the new model. Many things would have jumped up but some would have gone down. But the things that have gone down can be cut back for the most part or totally avoided.

Not sure I believe healthcare would have gone down. Friends all complain premiums have gone up.