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Argentina's Milei pitches to Wall Street as investors reassess emerging markets

Finance Prof

Well-known member

Argentina's Milei pitches to Wall Street as investors reassess emerging markets​


Last week, the Argentine local stock benchmark (MERV) touched its lowest level since October, while the dollar bond yield spread to U.S. Treasuries widened in line with the ‌global benchmark.

"A geopolitically ⁠tense world favors the investment case for Argentina, insofar as it forces countries to refocus on food, energy, and technological security, all areas where Argentina can help," said Alejo Czerwonko, chief investment officer for Emerging Markets Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management.

"At the same time, a period of acute conflict like what we’re experiencing with Iran right now doesn’t help almost any emerging market, as it triggers severe risk-off moves on the back of stagflationary concerns."
 
Couldn't be worse timing for the War with Iran for Argentina. Just terrible luck. Honestly I can't see any reason why companies will want to jump into Argentina right now.

Better to wait for labor reform to totally pass and be implemented. Now with the War we don't know how it will affect things. Gas prices already have jumped up last week and this week. And I'm sure it will jump up even more. Doesn't matter that Argentina has all this oil and gas.
 
Couldn't be worse timing for the War with Iran for Argentina. Just terrible luck. Honestly I can't see any reason why companies will want to jump into Argentina right now.

Better to wait for labor reform to totally pass and be implemented. Now with the War we don't know how it will affect things. Gas prices already have jumped up last week and this week. And I'm sure it will jump up even more. Doesn't matter that Argentina has all this oil and gas.
Hey at least we have the "most Zionist President in the world".

 
He should probably focus less on Iran and more on figuring out how to fix Argentina. Not sure being the most Pro-Israel President in the world is anything to write home about. He will get as many people against him for this than for it.

Some of the comments are hilarious out there.

 
He should probably focus less on Iran and more on figuring out how to fix Argentina. Not sure being the most Pro-Israel President in the world is anything to write home about. He will get as many people against him for this than for it.

Some of the comments are hilarious out there.


These guys are the caste. Adorni is a hypocrite. He complained in 2022 about Alberto Fernandez going on a trip with his wife and staying at the Park Hyatt in New York.

Milei's tour to New York huge entourage for Adorni and his wife (no official role) on the private jet because she's a "life partner" and "lends a hand."

Golden rule of Argentine caste: if others do it, it's the caste and a waste. If our own do it, it's necessary.

This party is a joke.

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I don't think he did any favors to himself badmouthing owners of companies in Argentina. Some in attendance were probably thinking to themselves that could be them in the future. I get that he wants to open up Argentina and doesn't care about nationalism or producing stuff in Argentina but sometimes he has to just learn to shut up.

That was funny seeing his sister speaking at the event. She doesn't speak English and was a baker and a tarot card reader before. His popularity is starting to fade. This war in Iran probably will be the nail in the coffin.


 
The Argentine delegation currently in the United States serves as a practical manual for what Ludwig von Mises termed "intervention that breeds further intervention" and what Rothbard would identify as blatant State hypocrisy. While Milei once shouted in Davos against crony capitalism and insisted that business should be left to the private sector, he is now using taxpayer funds to finance an expensive networking tour for a massive group of governors, ministers, and unofficial hangers-on. It seems like that government spending is not actually being cut, but simply relocated to benefit a new circle of friends and sycophants.

Although the government claims to be selling "institutionality," their actions prove the opposite. A prime example is the RIGI, which requires a minimum investment of $200 million dollars and specific state approval to function. From a true liberal perspective, if you need a special law to convince people to invest, you are openly admitting that your standard laws are an obstacle. This framework forces smaller investors to remain trapped under the old, broken rules and currency controls while the big players get a pass. This is not institutional strength; it is a confession of failure presented in a pompous setting.

The situation reaches its low point with the inclusion of the President's sister, Karina in high-level meetings. Even though she has a background in tarot and television contests, she attempts to negotiate with international investors without the necessary English skills, legal standing, or professional credentials. This is more than just minor nepotism; it is "brutalism," the most destructive signal a government can send. A government truly committed to the market should limit itself to letting free prices attract capital, rather than relying on surnames or religious associations.

These are essentially libertarians in formal wear who have not even finished the first page of Human Action. Mises never suggested shrinking the State for one's enemies while expanding it for one's family; he argued for eliminating the State as the arbiter of the economy.

There is no such thing as a "Misesian RIGI" or a "Rothbardian nepotism." In its golden age, a thriving Argentina didn't need delegations or forums to explain its success because it attracted honest capital through simple, inflexible, and respected rules. Today, the country begs for fresh dollars every few weeks because of a moral and institutional gap where words no longer match deeds. They are, quite simply, "half-baked liberals" who choose talk over action.
 
The Argentine delegation currently in the United States serves as a practical manual for what Ludwig von Mises termed "intervention that breeds further intervention" and what Rothbard would identify as blatant State hypocrisy. While Milei once shouted in Davos against crony capitalism and insisted that business should be left to the private sector, he is now using taxpayer funds to finance an expensive networking tour for a massive group of governors, ministers, and unofficial hangers-on. It seems like that government spending is not actually being cut, but simply relocated to benefit a new circle of friends and sycophants.

Although the government claims to be selling "institutionality," their actions prove the opposite. A prime example is the RIGI, which requires a minimum investment of $200 million dollars and specific state approval to function. From a true liberal perspective, if you need a special law to convince people to invest, you are openly admitting that your standard laws are an obstacle. This framework forces smaller investors to remain trapped under the old, broken rules and currency controls while the big players get a pass. This is not institutional strength; it is a confession of failure presented in a pompous setting.

The situation reaches its low point with the inclusion of the President's sister, Karina in high-level meetings. Even though she has a background in tarot and television contests, she attempts to negotiate with international investors without the necessary English skills, legal standing, or professional credentials. This is more than just minor nepotism; it is "brutalism," the most destructive signal a government can send. A government truly committed to the market should limit itself to letting free prices attract capital, rather than relying on surnames or religious associations.

These are essentially libertarians in formal wear who have not even finished the first page of Human Action. Mises never suggested shrinking the State for one's enemies while expanding it for one's family; he argued for eliminating the State as the arbiter of the economy.

There is no such thing as a "Misesian RIGI" or a "Rothbardian nepotism." In its golden age, a thriving Argentina didn't need delegations or forums to explain its success because it attracted honest capital through simple, inflexible, and respected rules. Today, the country begs for fresh dollars every few weeks because of a moral and institutional gap where words no longer match deeds. They are, quite simply, "half-baked liberals" who choose talk over action.
It is all kind of funny to watch play out. They bring all the Governors that thought they would have access and private time with Milei and none of them got to talk to them. My friend was at the event today and they said the Governors were all stuck outside of the main conference room. They wouldn't even give them credentials to enter Milei's speech. Can you believe that? Just sounds totally dysfunctional.

My friend at the event said all the bankers were laughing and sharing this with one another. All those trips helped with Trump and the US but everyone at the event was joking you'd have to be crazy to start a company or operations in Argentina.

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