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University march: late negotiations and a warning light for Milei in key weeks for social humor - Infobae
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Marcha universitaria: tratativas tardías y una luz de alerta para Milei en semanas claves para el humor social
El gobierno buscó desactivar el reclamo pero no logró encontrarle el eje comunicacional para legitimar su posición. La interna en la gestión. La cadena nacional para tratar de retomar la agenda pública
www.infobae.com
April 23, 2024
The government sought to deactivate the claim but was unable to find the communication axis to legitimize its position. The internal in management. The national chain to try to resume the public agenda
By Federico Mayol
Students from the University of Buenos Aires (UBA) take class on the street in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on Thursday, April 18, 2024. The UBA took classes abroad in protest of the freezing of its budget ordered by the Argentine president, Javier Milei, as part of his austerity measures. (AP Photo/Victor R. Caivano)
Santiago Caputo , the main strategist of the Casa Rosada who usually flies over all areas if he does not delve deeply into each of them, tried to moderate the claim. He let Emiliano Yacobitti know , the vice-rector of the University of Buenos Aires, one of the promoters of this Tuesday's march , who answered what, clearly, the presidential advisor already knew in advance: that it was too late. to calm spirits in the face of a mobilization that, on paper, is expected to be massive.
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Like Javier Milei , who last night celebrated the fiscal surplus of the first quarter of the year - he presented it as a "miracle" -, Caputo is a Taliban of what the president defined on the national network as "the most ambitious shock stabilization program of our country." history”, and the brain of the government's communication strategy with which the head of state has used until now to legitimize, with the approval of a large part of society, the execution of his plan, through the inoculation of a concept , “the caste”, which he used to successfully confront the traditional political system.
In recent days, however, a warning light went on on the communication management board of Milei and its surroundings: the march called for today by students, rectors and professors of state-run universities for the adjustment in salaries and in operating expenses, to which the private sector surprisingly joined, presents the government with its first major public challenge, an uncomfortable mobilization for the libertarian narrative, in moments of extreme sensitivity in the social mood.
“ Up until now the government, every time it put tension on the agenda, clearly put privileged actors in front of it, 'the caste' , and that gave it complete comfort because the average in the country asked for friction with them. If today they are students, families and workers, the government will face, for the first time, the 'non-privileged,'" Pablo Knopoff , political analyst and director of the consulting firm Isonomía, told Infobae .
President Javier Milei with the Minister of Economy, Luis Caputo, the president of the Central Bank, Santiago Bausili and his vice, Vladimir Werning, plus the Secretary of Finance, Pablo Quirno
Facundo Nejamkis , director of Opina Argentina, refers to the concept of the “trusted taxi” . “The UBA and the rest of the public universities can be the taxi that all those who distrust the CGT, the social movements, the political parties, can get into to show that they are on the other side of this new cry.” ”, wrote the consultant on his networks. “Today's march could be the first milestone,” he added in dialogue with this medium.
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Last night, police authorities risked a gathering around the Plaza de Mayo of no less than 50,000 attendees. From the organization they ventured a much higher figure.
For the government, it is a pivotal moment in its roadmap: it is going through the toughest weeks, which imply, for the middle sectors, a wave of increases in the rates of public services and transportation, and drag a retraction of the consumption and a fall in economic activity, a liquefaction of salaries and retirements that forced the Executive to even go against its unrestricted promotion of the free market, and intervene in the disproportionate increases in prepaid medicine. “In these three months the party is defined ,” exaggerated over the weekend a businessman who listened with enthusiasm to the presidential speech last Friday from one of the rooms of the exclusive Hotel Llao Llao, in Bariloche.
It is the question that runs through the entire red circle: the level of resilience that society is willing to tolerate, and the sustainability of this fiscal adjustment program, "with an ax", according to orthodox economists who agree with LLA. “We are crossing the desert to reach the promised land,” the president said yesterday. He becomes increasingly concerned about how far away that destination is.
“I understand that the situation we are experiencing is difficult, but also that we have already traveled more than half of the way. It is the last heroic effort that we Argentines are making, and for the first time in a long time, this time the effort is going to be worth it,” Milei highlighted last night on prime time television, in a speech of less than twenty minutes that he titled “ The path to prosperity”, and which he tried to highlight to recover the public agenda again after weeks without official pro-positive content.
Cadena nacional del Presidente Javier Milei
Cadena nacional del Presidente Javier Milei
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National channel of President Javier Milei
As this media was able to reconstruct, the government belatedly tried to redirect the dialogue with the rectors of public universities to deactivate, in vain, the call for this Tuesday. Yesterday, hours before the national network, the Ministry of Human Capital, headed by Sandra Pettovello , announced " the deposit of 100% of the operating expenses of national universities , with an increase of 70%", that is, a total accumulated increase of 140% as an update. Not enough for the organizers of today's march who, however, are willing to sit down once the demand passes. They argue that there is an ideological prejudice in addition to the budgetary one.
Throughout the weekend, Milei himself and social media accounts linked to La Libertad Avanza had hammered away with the installation of a story intended to discredit today's call, and highlight the adhesions of the labor union or prominent leaders of the Kirchnerism, to try to delegitimize it. Guided, for example, in the eventual refusal of the university authorities in the audit of the funds received by the study houses and which, according to current regulations, are the sole responsibility of the AGN.
In that sense, the organizers finished finalizing the details of the staging this Monday to try to shore up the authenticity of the claim. “The only slogan is in defense of the Argentine public university, that is going to be the logo of the stage, and there will be no one up there who is not a university representative,” explained a rector from Greater Buenos Aires.
For the government, the situation is extremely uncomfortable. Not only because of the authenticity of the claim, which cuts across all socioeconomic strata, and which brings together a good part of the opposition, but because the libertarian administration itself admits the inability to identify an opponent from whom they can take advantage to construct the story. official. Rather, the opposite. In a sector of society that, it is true, lacks leadership, plans and ideas. On the other hand, Milei monopolizes the absolute centrality of the project in question.
Close to the president, they recognize, however, the differences between Pettovello and Alejandro Álvarez , the undersecretary of University Policies, to whom they elegantly attribute “calculation errors.” At this level, inconsistencies persist in the management of conflicts. Provocative, imitator of the presidential style, an imprint not shared by the Secretary of Education, Carlos Torrendell , Álvarez dedicated himself to fueling the conflict and even “sold” behind closed doors that he would manage to divide the rectors, to try to deactivate the complaints. He didn't make it. Before the weekend, he tried to telephone some of them, without success.
The problem, presidential advisors admitted, also consisted of combining the salary claim, which is historic despite the ferocity of the current adjustment, with the operating expenses of the universities, which ended up uniting all sectors. Over the weekend, the rector of the UBA, Ricardo Gelpi, warned that the study house could close this year: “If there is no money, we will not have another option,” he said.
In this context, Milei faces his first major test in terms of public opinion, in an area that challenges him directly because it affects the interests of one of the bases of his electoral support - the young -, at a time when According to specialists, the conversation on networks began to show a marked slowdown in the positive aspects of management.
“They are the young people, it is their electoral base, they are not fighting against caste, and the anti-picketing protocol is also a problem because you cannot act against the kids ,” an analyst remarked yesterday.
This Monday, authorities from the City and the ministry led by Patricia Bullrich were still exchanging messages to coordinate the operation between Plaza Houssay, Congress and Plaza de Mayo.
Last night, the president sought to return to the agenda that best suits him: the elimination of the deficit and the downward inflation path that keeps him awake and to which he dedicates most of his time. “The era of the present State is over,” the president warned yesterday.
Today's march also coincides with the formal start of the parliamentary debate on the basic law, whose discussion in committees in Deputies is scheduled for this Wednesday. Its future in the Lower House, but particularly in the Senate, is still an unknown whose resolution no one dares to risk with certainty within the government.
It was one of the topics discussed at the birthday celebration of Minister Guillermo Francos , at his home in the northern suburbs, on Saturday night. Some cabinet officials stood out. Distrustful, the use of cell phones was not allowed. Lest some indiscreet guest decide to advertise the celebration. It's not the moment.
