Polling Leading up to the October 2027 Elections

[MikeYoung]

I thought it would be fun to keep track of some of the polling leading up to the elections to see how accurate or wrong they are next year. Obviously things can change and dissatisfaction doesn't necessarily mean that votes will be casted but will be fun to track it.

A New Survey Measured the Cabinet: Everyone Failed and the Best Was a Former Pro​

Quick Read: The latest national survey from the University of San Andrés measured 11 Government officials, and all ended with a negative differential. Diego Santilli was the highest-ranked, with a 27% positive image. The report also showed a general drop in approval for the Government overall.

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Positive Image of the Cabinet​

Official	Positive Image Score
Diego Santilli	27%
Sandra Pettovello	25%
Luis Caputo	25%
Federico Sturzenegger	21%
Karina Milei	18%
Manuel Adorni	17%
Alejandra Monteoliva	13%
Pablo Quirno	12%
Carlos Presti	11%
Juan Bautista Mahiques	9%
Mario Lugones	8%

Export to Sheets

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Government Evaluation​

• Approval of Milei's Government: 36%
• Disapproval: 61%
• Satisfaction with the general course: 28%
• Dissatisfaction: 68%
• Satisfaction with the Executive Branch: 26%
• Satisfaction with the Senate: 16%
• Satisfaction with the Lower House: 15%

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Main Concerns​

• Lack of work: 40%
• Low wages: 39%
• Corruption: 38%
• Inflation: 20%

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View on the Country​

• Worse off: 56% believe the country is worse than a year ago.
• Pessimistic outlook: 43% believe the situation will worsen in the next year.

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Technical Sheet​

• Institution: University of San Andrés
• Scope: National
• Cases: 1,007
• Date: April 2026
• Margin of Error: +/- 3.15%

 

[Uncle Wong]

Great idea. I've seen a ton on X.

 

[Uncle Wong]

 

[Canada Goose]

Here in Canada we used to see a lot of good press on him. But lately it's all negative stuff. I believe all the polls now. Last year they said he would do bad but there was a lot of support on his Instagram and X. Now if you look at the comments section it's 90% negative now.

 

[ElQueso]

 

[Dick]

Wow I just saw that government confidence index just cratered 12%. This isn't polling. This is respected numbers showing sinking.

 

[ElQueso]

Damn it would be funny if he could turn things around in October. Right now it is ugly.

 

[sophos]

Anything can happen. There is a lot of time left. In Argentina one month much can change.

[Poll] New San Andrés Survey: Kicillof Overtakes Cristina Among Opposition Voters
Interesting new polling data just dropped from the University of San Andrés (UdeSA) for April. This one is specifically focused on the sentiment of opposition voters, giving us a good look at who is currently winning the battle for leadership on the other side of the aisle.
The biggest takeaway: Axel Kicillof has slightly edged out Cristina Kirchner in positive image among this demographic. Meanwhile, the polarization around the current administration is crystal clear, with Javier Milei hitting a 91% rejection rate among the opposition block.
Here is the full breakdown of how opposition voters view these 21 political figures:

Ranking of Images Among Opposition Voters (April 2026)​

Political Figure	Positive (+)	Don't Know / No Answer	Negative (-)
Axel Kicillof	48%	9%	43%
Cristina Kirchner	46%	6%	48%
Myriam Bregman	43%	21%	36%
Juan Grabois	41%	18%	41%
Nicolás del Caño	34%	20%	46%
Sergio Massa	32%	7%	61%
Máximo Kirchner	26%	10%	64%
Guillermo Moreno	25%	23%	52%
Victoria Villarruel	25%	14%	61%
Martín Lousteau	22%	21%	57%
Juan Schiaretti	21%	30%	49%
Elisa Carrió	21%	13%	66%
Jorge Macri	13%	18%	69%
Mauricio Macri	13%	5%	82%
Martín Llaryora	12%	47%	41%
Patricia Bullrich	11%	6%	83%
Dante Gebel	10%	61%	29%
Miguel Pichetto	10%	26%	64%
Sergio Uñac	8%	61%	31%
Javier Milei	6%	3%	91%
Lilia Lemoine	3%	22%	75%

 

[Peabody]

Are there ANY favorable polls? All I see is them falling into the abyss.